No Deal Brexit – Ready for Brexit https://readyforbrexit.co.uk Getting business ready for brexit Thu, 30 Jan 2020 10:42:41 +0000 en-GB hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.3.2 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/cropped-ReadyforBrexit-website-32x32.png No Deal Brexit – Ready for Brexit https://readyforbrexit.co.uk 32 32 Your A to Z Guide to the Brexit trade negotiations https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/your-a-to-z-guide-to-the-brexit-trade-negotiations/ Thu, 30 Jan 2020 10:20:47 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26477   A.  Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty set out the rules for leaving the European Union. As with most negotiations, it assumed the leaving country would present its proposals for the post-withdrawal period – which would then be finalised with the other members. The UK government, however, has still not yet set out its post-Brexit trade objectives, […]

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A to Z guide to Brexit negotiations – Brexit future relationship

 

A.  Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty set out the rules for leaving the European Union. As with most negotiations, it assumed the leaving country would present its proposals for the post-withdrawal period – which would then be finalised with the other members. The UK government, however, has still not yet set out its post-Brexit trade objectives, and so the UK will leave the EU tomorrow without anyone knowing what might happen at the end of the year.

B.  ‘Brexit means Brexit’, has been the UK’s core statement since Article 50 was tabled. But as we noted back in September 2016, Brexit can actually mean a variety of different outcomes – and they have very different implications as the chart above shows. At one extreme, the ‘Norway model’ is very similar to full EU membership, but with no say on EU decisions. Whereas the ‘Canada model’ is simply a free-trade agreement offering some access to the Single Market for goods, but less access for services (which are 80% of the UK economy). A ‘No Deal Brexit’ means working under WTO rules with arbitrary tariffs and regulations.

C.  The European Commission manages the day-to-day business of the European Union on behalf of the European Council, and is effectively its civil service. Its president is Ursula von der Leyen and she re-appointed Michel Barnier to lead the post-Brexit negotiations. As with Brexit itself, the UK’s failure to agree its objectives has allowed Barnier to gain “first mover advantage”, and effectively control the scope of the negotiation, by finalising and publishing the EU’s own negotiating objectives.

D.  The Default date for the UK to exit the Transition period is 31 December 2020. It has also been agreed that it can be extended for a further 2 years, if the UK requests this before the end of June – but the UK government has said it will refuse to do this. The UK stance gives the EU a very strong position, as it means they effectively control the timetable as well as the scope of the negotiations.

Barnier has suggested they have “3 goals for 2020: to maintain a capacity to cooperate closely at the global level; to forge a strong security partnership; and to negotiate a new economic agreement (which, most likely, will have to be expanded in the years to come).” Given the EU’s focus on its proposed EU Green Deal, and the need to ensure a positive outcome for the UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in November, there may not be much time left for trade talks, given that security is their second priority. This view is reinforced by Barnier’s suggestion that the new economic agreement will have to be expanded after December.

E.  The European Union is a treaty-based organisation of 28 countries. As its website notes, it was ‘set up with the aim of ending the frequent and bloody wars between neighbours, which culminated in the Second World War.’ The UK joined the original six members (Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg and the Netherlands) in 1973, along with Ireland and Denmark. Further expansions took place, especially after the end of the Cold War between the West and Russia. At the suggestion of then UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, it was agreed to establish a Single Market and Customs Union in 1993, based on four key freedoms – free movement of goods, services, people and money – and this transformed trading relationships across the continent.

F.  The Financial Settlement or ‘divorce bill’ is part of the Withdrawal Agreement and covers the costs of the programmes that the UK agreed to support during the period of its EU membership. Like most organisations, the EU operates on a pay-as-you-go basis and only charges member countries as and when bills actually come due. The UK calculated this to be between £36 billion-£39 billion (€40 billion-€44 billion), depending on the assumptions used.

G.  The UK held 2 General Elections whilst finalising the Withdrawal Agreement. The first, in 2017, forced premier Theresa May to rely on the Ulster Unionists in order to gain a working majority in Parliament.  The second, in 2019, gave Boris Johnson a comfortable 80 seat majority on the basis that he would “Get Brexit Done”.  In reality, however, the only bit of Brexit that has been “done” is the exit from the EU. The process of replacing all the arrangements built up over the past 47 years, since the UK joined the then European Economic Community, has yet to begin.

H.  Hostile No-Deal at the end of December would be the worst of all possible outcomes, as it would mean the UK had to trade on WTO terms.  Unfortunately, this is a significant risk, given the range of areas that could cause friction – fisheries policy, financial services, immigration and EU citizen rights etc. The underlying issue is that the UK will become a 3rd country tomorrow night, and lose its veto rights in Brussels as well as the ability to help determine policy. Trade negotiations always cause Winners and Losers to emerge, as they are based on the negotiators conceding something of value to the other side in one area, in order to get back something of value for themselves. And potential Losers generally complain very loudly.

I.  Ireland proved to be a key sticking-point in the negotiations, as nobody wanted to disturb the peace created by the Good Friday Agreement in 1998.  The Withdrawal Agreement means that Northern Ireland will remain in the UK customs territory and, at the same time, benefit from access to the Single Market without tariffs, quotas, checks or controls. In turn, this means the end of frictionless trade as there will effectively be an EU – Great Britain border running down the Irish Sea, based on the EU’s need for sanitary and phyto-sanitary checks on food products and live animals entering from GB. The EU will also be able to assess risks on any product coming into its market and, if necessary, activate physical controls.

J.  June 2016 was the date of the referendum that voted to take the UK out of the EU.

K.  Keeping the UK aligned with EU standards is a key concern for many UK businesses.  They rely on complex supply chains, and would face major expense if they have to operate to 2 different standards.  However, the Chancellor of the exchequer, Sajid Javid, told the Financial Times earlier this month that “There will not be alignment, we will not be a ruletaker, we will not be in the single market and we will not be in the customs union — and we will do this by the end of the year.”

L.  Legal issues are, of course, a critical area in the negotiations as the UK currently operates under the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice  (ECJ), and now intends to ‘take back control’ to its own courts. Th ECJ role will continue during the Transition Agreement, but seems unlikely to continue after the transition period ends.

M.  Tariffs on Materials and goods will be introduced between the UK and EU27 unless a comprehensive trade deal can be finalised by the end of the year.  The EU’s terms for this depend on continued UK alignment with Europe’s societal and regulatory model. If the UK refuses to agree to this, then its trading terms will likely also change with countries outside the EU27.  It currently operates under more than 750 free-trade and trade-related agreements negotiated by the EU – and it is unlikely that the UK will continue to benefit from all of them.

A to Z guide to Brexit negotiations – How goods move from the EU to the UK

N.  No Deal means that the UK would have to operate under WTO rules after 31 December 2020. This short Ready for Brexit video explains the complications this would create. The WTO has also warned that the number of Technical Barriers to Trade ‘has grown significantly‘ in recent years, and these can often severely restrict trading opportunities. Plus, EU laws would still have a role under WTO rules for all UK products sold into the EU27 under No Deal. The EU Preparedness Notices also suggest there could be a ban on UK banks providing financial services, as well as a whole host of other restrictions including on travel.

O.  The Operation of the Transition Agreement will be in the hands of a new UK-EU Joint Committee.  This will replace all the formal and informal interactions that the UK used to have with other member states and EU officials.  It may well also become the body though which the UK and EU manage new treaties on global co-operation and security, as well as any future trade agreement.

P.  Preparing for Brexit. The Ready for Brexit team has over 250 years’ combined experience of importing and exporting, and we wanted to share this knowledge. Ready for Brexit is a subscription-based ‘one-stop shop.’ It provides a curated Directory to the key areas associated with Brexit – Customs and Tariffs, Finance, Legal, Services and Employment, and Supply Chain. It includes Brexit Checklists; a BrexSure self-audit tool to highlight key risks; a Brexit Negotiation Update section linking to all the key official UK and EU websites; a Brexplainer video on WTO Rules; plus news and interviews with companies about their preparations for Brexit.

R.  Regulations can often be a much greater barrier to trade than tariffs, as they set out the rules that apply when products and services are sold in an individual country. The EU never aimed to harmonise regulations across its member countries, as that would be an impossible task. Instead, it has focused on creating a Single Market via mutual recognition of each other’s standards, along with harmonised rules on cross-border areas, such as safety, health, and the environment. Regulations are particularly important in the financial services industry, and many businesses have already relocated relevant parts of their operations into the EU27 so that they can remain authorised to trade.

S. The Single Market seeks to guarantee the free movement of goods, services, people and money across the EU without any internal borders or other regulatory obstacles. It includes a Customs Union, as this short BBC video explains, which seeks to ensure that there are no Customs checks or charges when goods move across individual country borders. With a No-Deal Brexit, however, the UK will become a Third Country and no longer benefit from these arrangements.

T.  The Transition Agreement begins after the UK leaves on 31 January 2020.  It allows the UK to operate as if it were still in the EU until 31 December 2020 (or possibly December 2022 if the UK government requests an extension by the end of June 2020). The aim is to give negotiators more time to agree how future EU-UK trade in goods and services will operate, and provide guidance for businesses on how the new deal(s) will operate. But trade deals are very hard to do and generally take at least 5-7 years.

U.  Unblocked, or frictionless trade, is a key aim of the negotiators. Nobody really wants to go back to the pre-1993 world, before the Single Market arrived, when vast numbers of forms had to be filled in and lorries/ships sometimes stopped for hours for border checks. As Honda explained in June 2018 (see chart) it could easily take between 2-9 days to move goods between the EU27 and UK without a Customs Union, compared to between 5-24 hours today. The cost in terms of time and money would be enormous given that, as Eurotunnel told the Commons Treasury Committee in the month, ‘Over the past 20 years, warehouses have become trucks rolling on the road’.

V.  Ursula von der Leyen has taken over from Jean-Claude Juncker as EU Commission President.  Her priorities are naturally different from his, with her key focus being to deliver the EU Green Deal. On Brexit, she noted earlier this month in London that “The truth is that our partnership cannot and will not be the same as before. And it cannot and will not be as close as before – because with every choice comes a consequence. With every decision comes a trade-off. Without the free movement of people, you cannot have the free movement of capital, goods and services. Without a level playing field on environment, labour, taxation and state aid, you cannot have the highest quality access to the world’s largest single market.  The more divergence there is, the more distant the partnership has to be.

W.  WTO Terms are not actually “terms of trade” at all, but simply a reference to the basic rules set out by the World Trade Organisation. As our Brexplainer video explains, they mean that a tax, called “Tariffs”, would be reintroduced for trade in goods between the UK and the EU27.  Services, including financial services, could also be impacted by restrictions on market access. Border controls and customs checks could add time to shipments and impact supply chains.  This could be particularly important for highly regulated sectors such as chemicals.  Documentation and paperwork will increase, as businesses will need to be able to prove the nature and origin of their goods, especially if they use parts or components from several different countries. As a result, no country currently trades on WTO terms, as this briefing from the independent academic group, The UK in a Changing Europe, explains.

Z.  Zig-zag perhaps best describes the process that has led us to this point. It began long ago when Margaret Thatcher resigned in 1990, as the catalyst was partly her hostility to European Monetary Union. Fast forward through many zigs and zags by both main political parties, and we finally reached June 2016 and the Brexit referendum – and then, in turn, tomorrow’s UK’s exit from the EU.

 

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SMMT calls for tariff free trade deal as it reveals hefty drop in UK car production https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/smmt-calls-for-tariff-free-trade-deal-as-it-reveals-hefty-drop-in-uk-car-production/ Fri, 20 Dec 2019 13:21:31 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26317 The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) pleads for a free trade deal as it reveals that UK car production fell by 16.5% in November 2019. Anna Tobin reports

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The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) pleads for a free trade deal as it reveals that UK car production fell by 16.5% in November 2019. Anna Tobin reports

The latest figures from the SMMT show that UK car production was down 16.5% in November, with 107,753 units manufactured. A fall in consumer and business confidence, weak demand from overseas’ markets and model production changes all influenced the significant drop. While factory shutdowns around the time of the UK’s planned October exit from the EU to mitigate against any disruption arising from Brexit, were also a contributing factor.

The SMMT estimates that Brexit contingency measures taken by the car industry have now cost the sector more than £500 million.

“UK car production is export-led, so we look forward to working with the new Government to deliver an ambitious trade deal with the EU,” said SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes. “To ensure our competitiveness at a time of dramatic technological change, that deal needs to be tariff-free and avoid barriers to trade, which, for automotive, means that our standards must be aligned. This can be achieved if Government and industry work in partnership to re-establish the UK as a great place to invest and ensure that automotive keeps delivering for Britain.”

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How will ‘Brexit get done’ in 2020 and how can you use the time to get ready for it? https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/how-will-brexit-get-done-in-2020-and-how-can-you-use-the-time-to-get-ready-for-it/ Fri, 20 Dec 2019 07:21:04 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26292 Last week’s election result crystallised the choices ahead of the new Government. “Get Brexit done” was a great election slogan, but in reality 31 January will mark "the end of the beginning" in Churchill’s famous words.  At that point, the UK will move into a new era where the need will be to 'Get Brexit begun.'

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Last week’s election result crystallised the choices ahead of the new Government. “Get Brexit done” was a great election slogan, but in reality 31 January will mark “the end of the beginning,” in Churchill’s famous words. At that point, the UK will move into a new era where the need will be to ‘Get Brexit begun.’

The Government’s first decision will be whether to retain the red lines famously set out by then premier Theresa May on taking office in 2016. Given the tight timescale for a decision, which has to be made by the end of June, its alternatives are probably limited:

  • Either the UK decides to maintain more or less complete alignment with the EU on standards, regulations, etc. and adopts a Norway-type relationship with the EU27.
  • Or it decides to leave with No Deal when the transition period comes to an end on 31 December 2020, and then begins to negotiate a completely new type of deal.

The reason for the binary choice is that there just isn’t enough time between now and the end of 2020 to negotiate and ratify a totally new working arrangement between the UK and the EU. It would take at least two years, and so far the Government has said that it will not request such an extension.

We look forward to continuing to support you over the coming year as these momentous decisions are made. The Ready for Brexit newsletter will move onto a monthly basis, to support you in your contingency planning for a No Deal outcome.

It will focus on providing more detail on the key areas that will be impacted by a No Deal decision – Customs and Tariffs, Finance, Legal, Services and Employment and Supply Chain. Our team knows how these areas used to operate before 1993, when the Single Market and Customs Union began.

In the meantime, we would like to wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year.

Anna

Anna Tobin
Editor
Ready For Brexit

 

Anna Tobin Editor of Ready for Brexit

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CitySprint’s Bailey says prep is key if SMEs are to survive and thrive post-Brexit https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/citysprint-director-rosie-bailey-says-preparation-is-key-to-brexit-survival/ Wed, 18 Dec 2019 07:44:28 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26240 Rosie Bailey, director of business development at courier services provider CitySprint, warns SMEs that complacency won't necessarily deliver their businesses safely through Brexit, preparation is key

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CitySprint
Rosie Bailey, director of business development, CitySprint

Rosie Bailey, director of business development at courier services provider CitySprint, warns SMEs that complacency won’t necessarily deliver their businesses safely through Brexit, they must prepare

This article is the view of the author and not necessarily of Ready for Brexit

Regardless of whether you are for it or against it, there’s no arguing that Brexit uncertainty continues to linger across the country. Neither people, nor businesses — big or small — know exactly what’s to come, and neither do the experts.

One thing we do know, however, is that in the last three years this uncertainty has cost UK SMEs an estimated £1 million on average in terms of lost revenue/ turnover. This alarming number was revealed in CitySprint’s seventh annual Collaborate UK survey of over 1,000 decision makers and SME leaders from across the UK. While the final impact of Brexit is still yet to be seen, what became crystal clear through our research was that more governmental support is needed — with 45% of UK SME decision makers stating they don’t believe the Government has done enough to help businesses adequately prepare for Brexit.

But it’s not all doom and gloom. In fact, our research also found that there’s a clear sign of continued resilience in the UK’s business community — with half of SMEs feeling more confident than they did twelve months ago. While this is fantastic to see, it’s crucial that business owners and SME decision-makers don’t get complacent. Although they are understandably focused on their day-to-day operations, it’s essential that they consider how and where their business could be impacted by Brexit and prepare accordingly. But what should they focus on?

For starters, trade. With the final Brexit deal not yet signed off and the possibility of a ‘no deal’ exit still not quite off the table, the effect on national and cross-border trading and regulations remains unknown. Despite this uncertainty it was encouraging to see that, on the whole, UK businesses remain upbeat — with 49% looking to expand their customer base across the UK in the next year and a further 69% planning to expand into Europe (a positive increase of 28% since the same research last year).

It’s important for businesses to remember that regardless of the form the final Brexit deal takes, it’s likely to impact the way things work — even trade within the UK. As such, SMEs should consider contacting their logistics and courier partners to understand what the possible impact on their specific operations might be. With many variables in play, planning for the future is tricky, but liaising with partners directly can help shine a light on the impact on operations in each of the most likely given scenarios.

Supply chains

Another area of focus should be the supply chain.

In an increasingly complex trading environment, it’s already a challenge for many businesses to understand their end-to-end supply chain. And Brexit will likely add another layer of complexity to the mix that they need to be prepared for. To mitigate the risk, it’s important that businesses conduct a thorough assessment of their supply chain strategy, if they haven’t already done so.

While it can be a lengthy process, SMEs must not neglect the importance of re-evaluating their supplier relationships — from customer service and inventory all the way to sourcing, manufacturing and, ultimately, transportation. We were reassured to see that managing supply chains more effectively is a priority for the majority of UK SMEs, with 81% stating that their supply chain has remained the same or become more important in the past year. To ensure they are adequately prepared for whatever is to come, businesses must take a front foot approach and make suitable adjustments now — after all, changes to the supply chain often can’t be made overnight.

But while there are a number of things SMEs should be proactively doing to prepare for whatever is to come, one thing was made starkly obvious through our research. The Government needs to do more to support the UK’s SME community.

We were shocked to find out that almost half (43%) of SMEs lack confidence in the Government’s ability to protect them from the impact of Brexit — a 7% increase since the same question was put to them in 2017. Furthermore, less than a third (32%) of UK SMEs saw the Government’s ‘Get Ready for Brexit’ advertising campaign, which ran over Summer and over one in five (21%) haven’t seen or accessed any Government guidance or support at all since 2016.

In spite of a new January 31 deadline, Brexit is still as elusive as ever and no one can know for certain if or when Britain’s deal to leave the EU will be finalised. It’s now more important than ever for the Government to pull out all the stops to help businesses navigate the specific complexities of Brexit. In particular, there’s a strong appetite among SMEs for Governmental guidance around which regulations could change and how their business could be affected (32%) as well as support around tax relief or breaks (31%).

The bottom line is that if the UK’s SMEs are to continue to survive and thrive post-Brexit, they need to ensure they have taken necessary steps to protect themselves against all outcomes. This means both proactively taking steps now for future business success and stability, but also seeking out support as and when needed. While this ongoing uncertainty continues, preparation is crucial to protect SMEs from whatever lies over the horizon.

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How UK firms are using Estonia’s e-Residency scheme to operate as EU firms post-Brexit https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/how-uk-firms-can-use-estonias-e-residency-after-brexit/ Tue, 17 Dec 2019 09:29:20 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26249 Ott Vatter, managing director of the Republic of Estonia's e-Residency programme, which enables business people to establish and manage an EU-based company paperlessly from anywhere in the world, explains how UK businesses can benefit from the service after Brexit

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e-Residency
Ott Vatter, managing director, e-Residency

Ott Vatter, managing director of the Republic of Estonia’s e-Residency programme, which enables business people to establish and manage an EU-based company paperlessly from anywhere in the world, explains how UK businesses can benefit from the service after Brexit

Can you explain how e-Residency works?

e-Residency is an Estonian Government programme. It’s a transnational identity that is issued by the Estonian police and border guard. Estonia has had a digital identity programme for fifteen or sixteen years and we can’t imagine our lives without it, so 99% of our Government services are online. We communicate with the Government using this identity all the time. And in 2014 we thought why not make it available for foreigners who are already attached to Estonia to a certain extent. And, to our surprise, it came out that there were many more people who could benefit from a digital identity and who wanted to have companies in the EU, without actually physically being in the EU.

Has Brexit boosted the scheme’s popularity?

Yes, we have seen a significant increase in applications for e-Residency since Brexit. e-Residency is useful for Brits because it means that they can still have a  company within the EU and still remain in the EU’s legal framework without actually physically leaving the UK space. It is a virtual gateway to the EU, without being in the EU.

How has Estonia managed to lead the way in creating virtual EU residencies for UK companies?

When we became independent from the Soviet Union [in 1991] we had few resources to begin with and Estonians in general were reluctant to communicate with public officers, so we made the communication with the Government non-physical and we have been using digital identities for more than fifteen years. We didn’t have to invent anything new, we replicated the same infrastructure and system that we have for our citizens for non-citizens and we called it e-Residency, although the name e-Residency can be a little confusing, because it’s not actually residency. You can’t move to Estonia, you can’t travel with an e-Residency card, but it’s your virtual identification.

Will UK residents have to pay tax in Estonia if they set up an e-Residency for their businesses there?

Before e-Residency, you could create a company in the EU by travelling to Germany or Estonia or France, for example, and pay quite an expensive fee to a lawyer and create an EU company. So its conception, e-Residency is not anything new. What’s different is the fact that you can do it from the comfort of your home using your computer from anywhere in the world and when you become an e-Resident there are no obligations. It doesn’t mean that you become a tax resident or a resident of Estonia. There are no strings attached when you apply for e-Residency. It’s a personal status. Now, when you create a company using e-Residency then that company is automatically a tax resident of Estonia, but if your main customers are still in the UK and your permanent establishment is in the UK then you will probably have to pay your corporate tax in the UK.

The general rule is where you create your value, there you pay your tax. It gets a bit more complicated with cross-border services and service-based industries. And, if you are travelling around a lot as a freelancer and you don’t have one permanent establishment, then we see that the benefit for them might be to pay your taxes to Estonia, because you don’t have one permanent establishment.

Does your programme offer additional support to businesses looking to set up e-Residency?

Absolutely. There is an entire industry built upon servicing e-Residents. You need a virtual address registered in Estonia and there are a lot of private companies that will help to establish a company and business consultation services, for example, if you need legal or bookkeeping advice. Every inch of the administrative part can be dealt with, so that you can focus on your core business.

How much does it cost to create an e-Residency?  

The state fee for e-Residency is €100 and the state fee for establishing a company is €190 and many companies also pay a fee for services, such as bookkeeping, and that is roughly around €35 to €50 per month, depending on how many transactions you have per month. It’s very cost effective way in terms of establishing and running a company inside the European Union.

How many UK residents have taken up this offer?

We have around 3,200 e-Residents and about 450 companies who are based in the UK.

Do you have a base in the UK where people can come and find out more about your service, or is it all online?

Our base in the UK is the Estonian Embassy. When you apply for e-Residency you go through a background check and not everyone is accepted, but those that are have to then make an appointment with the Estonian Embassy. You go to the Embassy and they will issue you with the physical card there and you have to have one face-to-face meeting there with the representatives of the Government, because it is a national document, it requires the highest level of security in the EU according to the eIDAS [Electronic Identification, Authentication and Trust Services] act, so we want to see you and verify that you are as you claim to be and then we give you the key to enter our virtual systems.

How long does it take to set up?

It takes roughly two months, sometimes a little quicker and the company registration will take you thirty minutes. Once you have an EU company through e-Residency you have the right to offer goods and services across the EU and in accordance with the EU’s legal framework, even if you are based in the UK after a No-Deal Brexit.

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NFU’s Minette Batters urges PM to avoid WTO terms at all costs https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/nfus-minette-batters-urges-pm-to-avoid-wto-terms-at-all-costs/ Mon, 16 Dec 2019 11:09:52 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26229 Minette Batters, the National Farmers Union president, says the new Government must do everything in its power to avoid the UK having to operate on WTO terms following Brexit. Anna Tobin reports

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(Shutterstock)

Minette Batters, the National Farmers Union president, says the new Government must do everything in its power to avoid the UK having to operate on WTO terms following Brexit. Anna Tobin reports

Following the general election result, the National Farmers Union (NFU) president Minette Batters said: “In our own election manifesto, we raised a number of crucial issues we need the new Government to address now, to ensure British food production has a sustainable and ambitious future.

“Top of that list is Brexit. It’s imperative we secure a future trade deal with the EU that is as free and frictionless as possible, avoiding the damaging spectre of trading with our largest partner on WTO terms. Alongside this, our future trade policy mustn’t allow imports of food produced to standards that would be illegal to produce here.

“The UK could embark on its first trade negotiations for decades in just 50 days’ time – the Government must set up a Trade and Standards Commission as a matter of urgency so that they can work with industry and stakeholders to ensure those negotiations do not allow the high standards which are the hallmark of UK farming to be undermined by imported food which would fail to meet our own domestic regulations and values surrounding animal welfare, environmental standards and traceability.

“From our ambitious vision for agriculture to reach net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040 to increasing our self-sufficiency by producing more high-quality, British food at home, British farmers are ready and able to tackle the challenges ahead as well as making the most of new opportunities.

“We live in a country that has some of the highest animal welfare, environmental and food safety standards in the world, all the while providing the British public with the third most affordable food on the planet, and at the same time maintaining and enhancing the iconic British landscape. That’s why the public trusts and supports British farmers.

“Britain needs the new Government to back British farming like never before; to invest in domestic food production so we can increase our productivity, create more jobs and deliver more for the environment. Government needs to act to ensure guaranteed access to a skilled and competent workforce; develop a framework for a more competitive and sustainable farming industry; put in place a long-term food strategy; and place science at the heart of policy making. This will allow farming businesses to continue doing what they do best – provide safe, traceable and affordable food for the nation.”

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How business responded to the general election results https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/how-business-responded-to-the-general-election-results/ Mon, 16 Dec 2019 07:23:34 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26205 Business organisations have been quick to respond to the general election results. Anna Tobin investigates what they had to say

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Ready for Brexit is independent and objective. It aims to help businesses and organisations manage the challenges and opportunities that Brexit brings.
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Business organisations have been quick to respond to the general election results. Anna Tobin investigates what they had to say

The  Confederation of British Industry 

Following the news of the general election results, Carolyn Fairbairn, the director general of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), urged the Government to speedily give business clarity on Brexit, she said: “Congratulations to Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party. After three years of gridlock, the Prime Minister has a clear mandate to govern. Businesses across the UK urge him to use it to rebuild confidence in our economy and break the cycle of uncertainty.

“Employers share the Prime Minister’s optimism for the UK and are ready to play a leading role. They can bring the innovation, investment and jobs for a new era of inclusive growth. The biggest issues of our times – from tackling climate change to reskilling the workforce for new technologies – can only be delivered through real partnership between Government and business.

“The starting point must be rebuilding business confidence, and early reassurance on Brexit will be vital. Firms will continue to do all they can to prepare for Brexit, but will want to know they won’t face another no deal cliff-edge next year. Pro-enterprise policies on immigration, infrastructure, innovation and skills, will help relaunch the UK on the world stage.

“Despite recent challenges, the UK remains a great place to start and build a business. A new contract between enterprise and Government can make the UK a global magnet for investment, powering higher productivity and living standards across the UK.”

Federation of Small Businesses

Mike Cherry, the national chairman of the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB), has his fingers crossed that the majority Government formed following the general election will bring the stability that SMEs crave. He said: “After more than three years of Brexit absorbing Government bandwidth, the Conservative Party has pledged to tackle the many domestic challenges that have been neglected during that time.

“In the coming days we will see a Queen’s Speech and steps towards leaving the EU next month. Amid this, small businesses the length and breadth of the UK will be looking to the new Government to achieve positive change for small firms in its first 100 days, not least with publication of a pro-business Budget in early February.

“The restoration of small business confidence and trust in politics rests on seeing the Conservatives’ pledges to us swiftly enshrined in a programme for Government. It’s now time to turn kind words on bread and butter issues facing the small business community into tangible action.

“This Government needs to deliver a business-friendly Brexit. That means one that protects the three t’s: trade, talent and a proper transition. The third of those is absolutely critical. We have to avoid a scenario where we suddenly crash out of the EU with no time for small firms to prepare for what’s coming next.”

“Restoring business, investor and consumer confidence – and firing up the economy – must now be the Prime Minister’s top priority.

“Campaign slogans must give way to a renewed focus on the details that matter. Our business communities need to see swift, decisive action to avoid a messy and disorderly exit from the EU and to tackle the barriers holding back investment and growth here in the UK.”

British Chambers of Commerce

Avoiding a no-Deal Brexit and restoring business confidence are among the demands that Dr Adam Marshall, the director general of the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC),  is making of the new Government, following the general election. He said: “Restoring business, investor and consumer confidence – and firing up the economy – must now be the Prime Minister’s top priority.

“Campaign slogans must give way to a renewed focus on the details that matter. Our business communities need to see swift, decisive action to avoid a messy and disorderly exit from the EU and to tackle the barriers holding back investment and growth here in the UK.”

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The general election result and Brexit: What next? https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/the-general-election-result-and-brexit-what-next/ Fri, 13 Dec 2019 12:55:33 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26181 The general election result has provided a landslide victory for the Conservative party. Boris Johnson will now be putting everything into 'getting Brexit' done. But, what does that mean for your business?

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Ready for Brexit is independent and objective. It aims to help businesses and organisations manage the challenges and opportunities that Brexit brings.
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The general election result has provided a landslide victory for the Conservative party. Boris Johnson will now be putting everything into ‘getting Brexit’ done. But, what does that mean for your business?

We can now be clear that the UK will leave the EU by 31 January 2020. After that, there will be five months before Johnson has to decide whether to extend the negotiations on a new trade deal. If he doesn’t ask for an extension, then the transition period will end on 31 December 2020. As Reuters note this morning:

“Trade agreements with the EU typically take years to complete, and few in Brussels believe the transition period will be long enough to seal a deal with Britain.”

Johnson has already said that he will not ask for an extension. It also seems unlikely he will agree to accept the French offer of a quick trade deal that maintains more or less total alignment on standards and regulations between the UK and EU.

The next few weeks will be taken up in passing the Withdrawal Agreement through Parliament. But after this, the pace of change will likely pick up. We will know by the end of June whether a new trade deal is likely to be agreed, or if the Transition period will be extended. If the answer to both questions is negative, then UK-EU trade will move onto a No Deal basis in just over a year.

As usual keep your eyes on this site, for all the latest updates, support and advice.

Anna

Anna Tobin
Editor
Ready For Brexit

 

Anna Tobin Editor of Ready for Brexit

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Insurers may not cover all Brexit-related claims https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/brexit-insurance-claims-may-not-be-covered/ Thu, 12 Dec 2019 12:12:36 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26167 One in five UK organisations could make insurance claims linked to a disorderly Brexit and many will be unsuccessful, warns insurance governance expert Mactavish. Anna Tobin reports

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Ready for Brexit is independent and objective. It aims to help businesses and organisations manage the challenges and opportunities that Brexit brings.
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One in five UK organisations could make insurance claims linked to a disorderly Brexit and many will be unsuccessful, warns insurance governance expert Mactavish. Anna Tobin reports

Research by Mactavish shows that 22% of senior executives and managers at British firms believe that over the next 12 months there is a strong chance their organisations will make business interruption insurance claims linked to damages and losses worsened by a disorderly Brexit. Of greater concern, is that many of these Brexit insurance claims risk being rejected, says Mactavish.

Brexit insurance claim rejections are likely because the organisations may not have informed their insurers of these risks, something that they are legally required to do. Of those surveyed, 18% of senior executives and managers who believe their organisations are at risk from Brexit, say their employers have not notified their insurers of these risks. Only 25% of those who believe they are facing Brexit-related risks say their insurers have been informed of these. The remainder either do not know if this is the case or believe they do not face any specific Brexit threats.

Mactavish also warns that individual directors at these organisations could personally be exposed to legal action for not informing insurers of these risks, because of traditional limitations applied to Directors and Officers (D&O) insurance cover.

Businesses ill-prepared for Brexit

The research also found that 26% of UK executives and managers believe the organisations they work for will be affected by Brexit and have not prepared for it. In terms of the biggest Brexit risks facing organisations, 35% believe their organisations could have problems with sourcing suppliers in the first year; 31% cite staff shortages, as they expect some of their EU employees to return home, and it will be more difficult to recruit from Europe; and 24% think they could find it difficult to secure new sources of finance, because their organisations are so Europe focused.

“Our findings show that many businesses are facing significant risks from a disorderly Brexit, and that many have not prepared for this properly or adequately informed their insurers of these,” said Bruce Hepburn, CEO of Mactavish. “All of this creates several insurance-related challenges and it can be difficult to know what they are covered for. Organisations need to review their existing cover to ensure it is adequate.”

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Global pharma industry unsure about Brexit outcome finds GlobalData https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/global-pharma-industry-unsure-about-brexit-outcome-finds-globaldata/ Tue, 10 Dec 2019 13:38:32 +0000 https://readyforbrexit.co.uk/?p=26115 GlobalData’s latest Brexit tracker, Brexit and the Healthcare Industry – Implications for Pharma, Q3 2019 reveals that the pharma industry is divided on how Brexit will playout. Anna Tobin reports

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Ready for Brexit is independent and objective. It aims to help businesses and organisations manage the challenges and opportunities that Brexit brings.
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GlobalData’s latest Brexit tracker, Brexit and the Healthcare Industry – Implications for Pharma, Q3 2019 reveals that the pharma industry is divided on how Brexit will playout. Anna Tobin reports

The GlobalData Brexit tracker, Brexit and the Healthcare Industry – Implications for Pharma, Q3 2019, found that healthcare industry professionals are divided when it comes to predicting Brexit’s outcome post January 31, 2020;  26% of UK respondents and 43% of US respondents, predict that there will be a further delay once the current deadline is reached. While 43% of EU respondents believe that Brexit could be achieved by renegotiating the current Withdrawal Agreement.

“The UK’s initial withdrawal date was March 29, 2019, but after seven months of ongoing political division, economical paralysis and unsuccessful attempts to deliver Brexit, it seems that the pharma industry is still unsure whether the stagnation period is going to end. Nevertheless, compared to data we had before the previous October 31 Brexit deadline; this time, the respondents seemed to gain more confidence that a no-deal Brexit scenario can be avoided,” said Urte Jakimaviciute, senior director of market research at GlobalData.

“Further delay to Brexit may be associated with pharma predicting a hung parliament or even a change in the ruling party. While most of the latest public opinion polls predict the victory of the Conservatives, winning may not be enough. Under a Conservatives-led majority government, the UK might split from the EU by January 31, ending the Brexit saga. However, if Boris Johnson wins without a majority, with his deal being stuck in the Commons, he could be forced to hold another referendum.

“While the pharma industry continuously indicates that the preferred outcome of Brexit is no Brexit, it is easier said than done. If pro-referendum parties won, due to time needed to get the referendum organised, Brexit would not be resolved before the deadline. While revoking Article 50 might seem an easier solution, there are no certain directions coming from legislative bodies on whether a new Prime Minister would need an approval from parliament to revoke or if the UK would need to have a referendum to overrun a referendum.

“The only certain thing about Brexit is uncertainty. Conservatives securing a majority may throw the UK into post-Brexit economic slowdown and regulatory limbo. Then again, any other election outcome might bring the UK’s and Brexit’s fate back into the hands of the EU.”

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